Ohio vs Akron : The Ohio Bobcats (7-4) host the Akron Zips (4-6) on Friday afternoon in the final game of the Mid-American Conference season. Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST at Peden Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the CBS Sports Network.
Taking a look at the Week 13 college football odds, Ohio opened as a 22-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has shifted by half of a point after early betting, as the Bobcats are currently listed at -21.5. The total for the game is sitting at 54 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Ohio vs Akron
Akron lost their third straight game last week, falling 21-6 to Bowling Green at home despite being a touchdown favorite. The Zips gave up almost 400 yards of total offense, although they did also force two turnovers. QB Kato Nelson didn’t play all that well, throwing for only 148 yards and completing less than 50% of his passing attempts. Things didn’t go much better on the ground, as Akron could only muster 2.8 yards per carry against a tough Falcons defense. The Zips have now scored seven or less points in consecutive games and have been outgained by opponents in total yardage by almost 100 yards per game since Week 1. Overall, Akron is currently averaging just 19.6 points per game on 288.5 yards of total offense.
The Zips have been mediocre at best on the other side of the ball this year, as opponents are currently averaging 24.9 points per game (53rd overall). Akron has really struggled against the run, giving up an average of 179.8 yards per game on the ground (85th overall).
Ohio has now won four out of their last five games after crushing Buffalo 52-17 at home in Week 12. The Bobcats looked dominant against a solid Bulls team that had a 9-1 record overall heading into the game. There was little doubt who the better team was, as Ohio racked up 437 rushing yards while limiting Buffalo to just 277 yards of total offense. QB Nathan Rourke was fantastic, throwing for 209 yards and three touchdowns while adding another 77 yards and a score on the ground. Rourke has now passed for 2,138 yards and 22 touchdowns in just 11 games. The star of the game on offense last week was clearly RB A.J. Oullette, who ran for 196 yards and two touchdowns. RB Maleek Irons also had a good game, rushing for 92 yards and a touchdown on just 12 carries. As a whole, the offense is averaging a very impressive 40.5 points per game on 470.8 total yards.
The Bobcats have looked average defensively, giving up 26.5 points per game to opponents. However, they have struggled to defend against the pass, allowing 255.5 yards per game through the air (102nd overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Ohio -21.5
Ohio still has a lot to play for, as they currently have an outside shot at winning the MAC East. Akron is basically done for the season after this game, as they would need to beat Ohio and South Carolina back to back in order to become bowl-eligible. My biggest concern for the Zips in this particular spot is their lackluster play on offense. The Bobcats are currently averaging over 40 points per game and I just don’t think Akron has the firepower to keep pace with Rourke and Co. It is also worth noting that Ohio is racking up over 250 rushing yards per game and now gets to face a brutal run defense that is ranked just 85th in the entire country.
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The Zips are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games. They are also only 0-7 ATS over their last seven games following a straight up loss and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. Ohio is a solid 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games on Friday. They are also a very impressive 6-0 ATS over their last six home games against teams with a losing home record and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
The Bobcats are simply too well-balanced on offense to allow Akron to stay within striking distance for more then a couple of quarters. The Zips have only scored 13 total points in their last two games combined while Ohio has racked up 80 points in the same time frame. The high scoring output wasn’t a fluke either, as the Bobcats have actually scored 49, 52, 59, 28, and 52 points over their last five games overall. While Akron is giving up around two points less per game defensively, that still won’t propel them to a tough cover on the road in this spot. I’m laying the 3+ touchdowns and rolling with the home favorite here in Week 13 – give me Ohio.